Föhrenbergkreis Finanzwirtschaft

Unkonventionelle Lösungen für eine zukunftsfähige Gesellschaft

Posts Tagged ‘Soros’

Endspiel: Euro könnte Ziel einer Attacke von Spekulanten werden

Posted by hkarner - 2. Mai 2016

Deutsche Wirtschafts Nachrichten  |  Wenn die EZB die Lage nicht unter Kontrolle hält, könnte der Euro von Spekulanten angegriffen werden. Als Vorbild würden die Attacken von George Soros auf europäische Währungen dienen.

Soros CCInvestor George Soros .

 

Deutsche Wirtschafts Nachrichten: Ist die Euro-Krise überwunden? In welcher Verfassung sehen Sie den Euro?

Claudio Celani: Die Euro-Krise ist nicht überwunden. Ich denke eher, dass der Euro es nicht mehr lange machen wird. Der Euro ist eigentlich von Anfang an eine tote Währung gewesen. Seine Einführung eine geopolitische Idee, die völlig von der Kredit- und Realwirtschaft abgekoppelt ist. Er ist eine rein monetäre Währung, die niemals funktionieren konnte.

Nur, die anhaltenden Erwartungen eines nominellen Wachstums im Euroraum bis 2008 haben den rigor mortis verzögert. Spätestens nach dem Ausbruch der Finanzkrise ist das klar geworden. Wenn die Wirtschaft eine Währung unterstützen muss, und nicht umgekehrt, ist die Währung tot.

Deutsche Wirtschafts Nachrichten: Halten Sie es für möglich, dass gegen den Euro in seiner aktuellen Verfassung erneut spekuliert wird?

Claudio Celani: Ein anderer Name für Spekulanten sind Finanzmärkte. Letztere haben „Namen, Vornamen und Spitznamen“, wie der Wirtschaftsprofessor Federico Caffé sagte, und führen in der Regel Strategien aus. Wenn die EZB die Finanzmärkte einigermaßen mit Liquidität versorgt und damit für Gewinnchancen sorgt, wird der Euro von Spekulationsattacken verschont bleiben. Aber wenn die Lage außer Kontrolle gerät, gilt nur eine Regel: Hauptsache Gewinne erzielen, auch gegen den Euro. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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Europe: A Better Plan for Refugees

Posted by hkarner - 10. April 2016

George Soros, NYR April 9, 2016, 10:00 amsoros

The asylum policy that emerged from last month’s EU-Turkey negotiations—and that has already resulted in the deportation of hundreds of asylum seekers from Greece to Turkey—has four fundamental flaws. First, the policy is not truly European; it was negotiated with Turkey and imposed on the EU by German Chancellor Angela Merkel. Second, it is severely underfunded. Third, it is not voluntary. It imposes quotas that many member states oppose and requires refugees to take up residence in countries where they don’t want to live, while forcing others who have reached Europe to be sent back. Finally, it transforms Greece into a de facto holding pen without sufficient facilities for the number of asylum seekers already there.

All these deficiencies can be corrected. The European Commission implicitly acknowledged some of them this week when it announced a new plan to reform Europe’s asylum system. But the Commission’s proposals still rely on compulsory quotas that serve neither refugees nor member states. That will never work. European Commission Vice President Frans Timmermans is inviting an open debate. Here is my contribution.  Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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The Case for Surge Funding

Posted by hkarner - 18. Februar 2016

Photo of George Soros

George Soros

George Soros is Chairman of Soros Fund Management and Chairman of the Open Society Foundations. A pioneer of the hedge-fund industry, he is the author of many books, including The Alchemy of Finance, The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What it Means, and The Tragedy of the European Union.

FEB 17, 2016, Project Syndicate

MUNICH – Important progress was made at the donors’ conference for Syrian refugees convened in London on February 4. But much more remains to be done. The international community is still vastly underestimating what is needed to support refugees, both inside and outside the borders of the European Union. To deal with the refugee crisis, while putting the EU’s largely unused AAA borrowing capacity to better use, requires a paradigm shift.

Rather than scraping together insufficient funds year after year, it is time to engage in “surge funding.Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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Putin is No Ally Against ISIS

Posted by hkarner - 10. Februar 2016

Photo of George Soros

George Soros

George Soros is Chairman of Soros Fund Management and Chairman of the Open Society Foundations. A pioneer of the hedge-fund industry, he is the author of many books, including The Alchemy of Finance, The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What it Means, and The Tragedy of the European Union.

FEB 10, 2016, Project Syndicate

MUNICH – The leaders of the United States and the European Union are making a grievous error in thinking that President Vladimir Putin’s Russia is a potential ally in the fight against the Islamic State. The evidence contradicts them. Putin’s current aim is to foster the EU’s disintegration, and the best way to do so is to flood the EU with Syrian refugees.

Russian planes have been bombing the civilian population in southern Syria forcing them to flee to Jordan and Lebanon. There are now 20,000 Syrian refugees camped out in the desert awaiting admission to Jordan. A smaller number are waiting to enter Lebanon. Both groups are growing.

Russia has also launched a large-scale air attack against civilians in northern Syria. This was followed by a ground assault by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s army against Aleppo, a city that used to have 2 million inhabitants. The barrel bombs caused 70,000 civilians to flee to Turkey; the ground offensive could uproot many more. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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Wirtschaftsforum in Davos: Die Welt bangt um Europa

Posted by hkarner - 24. Januar 2016

Date: 24-01-2016
Source: SPIEGEL

Wie steht es um Europa? Schlimm, wenn man der Stimmung beim Weltwirtschaftsforum in Davos glaubt. In den Augen vieler droht der Kontinent auseinanderzudriften. Die letzte Hoffnung ruht auf Angela Merkel.

George Soros ist nicht gerade das, was man einen Optimisten nennt. Aber so düster wie an diesem Abend in Davos klang der 85-Jährige Multimilliardär schon lange nicht mehr. Die Lage sei Besorgnis erregend, sagt Soros mit brüchiger Stimme. „Die Europäische Union fällt auseinander.“ Wenn die EU es nicht schaffe, eine gemeinsame Asylpolitik zu formulieren, werde der Konflikt die Gemeinschaft sprengen.

Der legendäre Investor mag der einzige sein, der seine Sorge um Europa öffentlich so drastisch formuliert. Doch allein ist er mit seinem Pessimismus nicht. Selten war die Stimmung beim Weltwirtschaftsforum in den Schweizer Alpen so schlecht wie in diesem Jahr – und die Unsicherheit so groß. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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Picnic for the bears

Posted by hkarner - 19. Januar 2016

Date: 18-01-2016
Source: The Economist: Buttonwood

Fears of deflation and recession hit markets

Signs of apocalypseGLOOM seems to have descended at the start of 2016. Equity markets have had the worst start to the year in at least two decades. The great and the good have queued up to warn of the dangers ahead.

George Soros, a fund manager, said the Chinese financial environment reminded him of 2008, when the financial crisis was at its height. Larry Summers, a former American treasury secretary, declared in the Financial Times: “The global risk to domestic economic performance in the US, Europe and many emerging markets is as great as any time I can remember.” George Osborne, Britain’s chancellor, spoke of a “cocktail of threats” facing the global economy.

The chart shows a number of indicators of concern, from rising credit spreads (the interest-rate premium paid by risky borrowers) to slumping stockmarkets in the emerging world. Investors have many worries. The first is that the Chinese economy is weaker than the GDP statistics suggest. Falling commodity prices, the collapse in the Baltic Dry index (which tracks the cost of shipping bulk goods) and the sluggish growth of global trade can all be seen as signs of weakness. Given China’s importance to global growth, this means that 2016 may turn out to be yet another year when growth disappoints. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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Kommt jetzt die große Finanzkrise?

Posted by hkarner - 11. Januar 2016

Andreas Männicke, 10-1-2016Männicke

Die Weltbörsen wurden mit 2 gewaltigen China-Böllern in das neue Jahr des Affen geschickt. Aufgrund schwacher Konjunkturdaten in China wurde der Handel an der Börse an 2 Tagen mit einem Minus von jeweils 7 Prozent ausgesetzt, was die Anleger auch global verunsicherte. Zusätzlich wurde der Yuan (Renmimbi) gegenüber dem US-Dollar mehrfach abgewertet, was zu Kettenreaktionen bei Schwellenländerwährungen führte.

Hinzu kamen geopolitische Risiken wegen des sich verschärfenden Konflikts Saudi-Arabien gegen Iran, die ihre diplomatischen Beziehungen abbrachen. Nord-Korea zündete erstmals eine Wasserstoffbombe, was als großer Erfolg gefeiert wurde, die restliche Welt aber in Angst und Schrecken versetzte. In Deutschland macht das „Antanzen der Nord-Afrikaner“ in der Silvesternacht Sorgen. Dieses Jahr begann damit sehr turbulent und verspricht weiterhin sehr abwechslungsreich zu werden.

Schwacher Börsenstart ins „Jahr des Affen“ Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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How to Fight Jihadi Terrorism

Posted by hkarner - 30. Dezember 2015

Photo of George Soros

George Soros

George Soros is Chairman of Soros Fund Management and Chairman of the Open Society Foundations. A pioneer of the hedge-fund industry, he is the author of many books, including The Alchemy of Finance, The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What it Means, and The Tragedy of the European Union.

DEC 29, 2015, Project Syndicate

NEW YORK – Open societies are always endangered. This is especially true of America and Europe today, as a result of the terrorist attacks in Paris and elsewhere, and the way that America and Europe, particularly France, have reacted to them.

Jihadi terrorists, like the Islamic State (ISIS) and Al Qaeda, have discovered the Achilles heel of our Western societies: the fear of death. By stoking that fear through horrific attacks and macabre videos, the publicists of ISIS awaken and magnify it, leading otherwise sensible people in hitherto open societies to abandon their reason. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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Rebuilding the Asylum System

Posted by hkarner - 26. September 2015

Photo of George SorosGeorge Soros is Chairman of Soros Fund Management and Chairman of the Open Society Foundations. A pioneer of the hedge-fund industry, he is the author of many books, including
The Alchemy of Finance, The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What it Means, and The Tragedy of the European Union.

SEP 26, 2015, Project Syndicate

NEW YORK – The European Union needs to accept responsibility for the lack of a common asylum policy, which has transformed this year’s growing influx of refugees from a manageable problem into yet another political crisis. Each member state has selfishly focused on its own interests, often acting against the interests of others. This precipitated panic among asylum seekers, the general public, and the authorities responsible for law and order. Asylum seekers have been the main victims.

The EU needs a comprehensive plan to respond to the crisis, one that reasserts effective governance over the flows of asylum-seekers so that they take place in a safe, orderly way, and at a pace that reflects Europe’s capacity to absorb them. To be comprehensive, the plan has to extend beyond the borders of Europe. It is less disruptive and much less expensive to maintain potential asylum-seekers in or close to their present location. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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Europe at War

Posted by hkarner - 13. Januar 2015

Date: 12-01-2015
Source: Project Syndicate

GEORGE SOROSsoros

George Soros is Chairman of Soros Fund Management and Chairman of the Open Society Foundations. A pioneer of the hedge-fund industry, he is the author of many books, including The Alchemy of Finance, The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What it Means and The Tragedy of the European Union.

NEW YORK – By invading Ukraine in 2014, President Vladimir Putin’s Russia has posed a fundamental challenge to the values and principles on which the European Union was founded, and to the rules-based system that has kept the peace in Europe since 1945. Neither Europe’s leaders nor its citizens are fully aware of the scope of this challenge, much less how to deal with it.

Putin’s regime is based on rule by force, manifested in repression at home and aggression abroad. But it has been able to gain a tactical advantage, at least in the short term, over the EU and the United States, which are determined to avoid direct military confrontation.

Violating its treaty obligations, Russia annexed Crimea and established separatist enclaves in eastern Ukraine’s Donbas region. When it appeared last summer that the Ukrainian government might win the war in Donbas, Putin ordered an invasion by regular Russian armed forces. Preparations for a second wave of military action began in November, when Putin provided separatists with a new influx of armored columns and personnel. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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