Föhrenbergkreis Finanzwirtschaft

Unkonventionelle Lösungen für eine zukunftsfähige Gesellschaft

Posts Tagged ‘Roubini’

The Middle East Meltdown and Global Risk

Posted by hkarner - 1. Oktober 2015

Photo of Nouriel Roubini

Nouriel Roubini

Nouriel Roubini, a professor at NYU’s Stern School of Business and Chairman of Roubini Global Economics, was Senior Economist for International Affairs in the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers during the Clinton Administration. He has worked for the International Monetary Fund, the US Federal Reserve, and the World Bank.

OCT 1, 2015, Project Syndicate

NEW YORK – Among today’s geopolitical risks, none is greater than the long arc of instability stretching from the Maghreb to the Afghanistan-Pakistan border. With the Arab Spring an increasingly distant memory, the instability along this arc is deepening. Indeed, of the three initial Arab Spring countries, Libya has become a failed state, Egypt has returned to authoritarian rule, and Tunisia is being economically and politically destabilized by terrorist attacks.

The violence and instability of North Africa is now spreading into Sub-Saharan Africa, with the Sahel – one of the world’s poorest and most environmentally damaged regions – now gripped by jihadism, which is also seeping into the Horn of Africa to its east. And, as in Libya, civil wars are raging in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, and Somalia, all of which increasingly look like failed states. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: , , , | Leave a Comment »

Roubini : The Markets Are Too Pessimistic About Chinese Growth

Posted by hkarner - 4. September 2015

Roubini Cernobbio 2015Roubini Global Economics Co-founder and Chairman Nouriel Roubini discusses China’s slowdown, his strategy for the markets and when the U.S. will raise interest rates. He speaks to Bloomberg’s Guy Johnson and Anna Edwards from the Ambrosetti Forum in Cernobbio, Italy. (Source: Bloomberg) 4/9/2015

Posted in Audios/Videos | Verschlagwortet mit: , , , | Leave a Comment »

A Financial Early-Warning System

Posted by hkarner - 27. August 2015

Date: 27-08-2015
Source: Project Syndicate

NOURIEL ROUBINIRoubini CC

Nouriel Roubini, a professor at NYU’s Stern School of Business and Chairman of Roubini Global Economics, was Senior Economist for International Affairs in the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers during the Clinton Administration. He has worked for the International Monetary Fund, the US Federal Reserve, and the World Bank.

NEW YORK – Recent market volatility – in emerging and developed economies alike – is showing once again how badly ratings agencies and investors can err in assessing countries’ economic and financial vulnerabilities. Ratings agencies wait too long to spot risks and downgrade countries, while investors behave like herds, often ignoring the build-up of risk for too long, before shifting gears abruptly and causing exaggerated market swings.

Given the nature of market turmoil, an early-warning system for financial tsunamis may be difficult to create; but the world needs one today more than ever. Few people foresaw the subprime crisis of 2008, the risk of default in the eurozone, or the current turbulence in financial markets worldwide. Fingers have been pointed at politicians, banks, and supranational institutions. But ratings agencies and analysts who misjudged the repayment ability of debtors – including governments – have gotten off too lightly.

In principle, credit ratings are based on statistical models of past defaults; in practice, however, with few national defaults having actually occurred, sovereign ratings are often a subjective affair. Analysts at ratings agencies follow developments in the country for which they are responsible and, when necessary, travel there to review the situation. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Limits of Monetary Policy and Stimulus – Low Growth is Unavoidable

Posted by hkarner - 19. August 2015

Monday, August 17, 2015

Roubini GrowthNouriel Roubini, Chairman Roubini Global Economics. Interviewed at the 38th edition of the annual workshop „Intelligence on the World, Europe, and Italy“.

Posted in Audios/Videos | Verschlagwortet mit: , , , | Leave a Comment »

Nouriel Roubini predicts break-up of Eurozone unless Economic Growth is restored

Posted by hkarner - 4. August 2015

Saturday, August 1, 2015

 Roubini IG Metall

 American economist Nouriel Roubini said on Wednesday that the Eurozone will break up unless the member states restore economic growth.
The New York University professor was speaking at a conference organised by IG Metall, Germany’s biggest trade union, in Berlin.
He said that the Eurozone was not paying enough attention to job creation and GDP growth, because it was too focused on austerity. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

Posted in Audios/Videos | Verschlagwortet mit: , , | Leave a Comment »

Alpha, Beta, and Beyond

Posted by hkarner - 27. Juli 2015

JUL 27, 2015 4, Project Syndicate 

NEW YORK – Even in normal times, individual and institutional investors alike have a hard time figuring out where to invest and in what. Should one invest more in advanced or emerging economies? And which ones? How does one decide when, and in what way, to rebalance one’s portfolio?

Obviously, these choices become harder still in abnormal times, when major global changes occur and central banks follow unconventional policies. But a new, low-cost approach promises to ease the challenge confronting investors in normal and abnormal times alike.

In the asset management industry, there have traditionally been two types of investment strategies: passive and active. The passive approach includes investment in indices that track specific benchmarks, say, the S&P 500 for the United States or an index of advanced economies or emerging-market equities. In effect, one buys the index of the market. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: , , , | Leave a Comment »

Nouriel Roubini, Dr Doom, says Grexit would be a catastrophe

Posted by hkarner - 20. Juli 2015

July 19, 2015 3:54 am, FTWorld Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2007

Nouriel Roubini, the renowned economist known as Dr Doom, told FTfm the consequences of Greece leaving the euro would be “catastrophic” for the global economy.

Mr Roubini, a former senior adviser to the White House, said that if Greece left the eurozone, the fallout would be far wider than the inevitable pain for the Greek economy.

“It will not happen because the consequences would be too terrible,” he said.

Greece has reached an uneasy deal with its creditors to prevent it crashing out of the eurozone.

Mr Roubini, known as Dr Doom for his predictions on the US housing crash and global financial crisis, said the biggest danger of a Greek departure would be that Greece’s ties with Russia would grow stronger. He said this could enable Russia to regain influence in the Balkans at a time when its dealings with Ukraine is already a concern for politicians.

He said: “We could see Russian influence extending in the Balkans again.” Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Roubini : This ‚time bomb‘ will trigger next Financial Collapse

Posted by hkarner - 6. Juli 2015

Saturday, July 4, 2015


The man who called the 2008 financial crisis is sounding the alarm about what may cause the next one.
Nouriel Roubini, who has been dubbed „Dr. Doom“ for his dark predictions, warned in an Op-Ed in The Guardian on Monday about the existence of a „liquidity time bomb“ that he fears will eventually „trigger a bust and a collapse.“

The New York University economist joins a growing number of observers who are worried about the issue. Liquidity is the lifeblood of financial markets. It measures how easy it is for investors to quickly sell stocks and bonds. When investors get fearful but can’t sell their stocks, it causes even more panic. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: , , | Leave a Comment »

Roubini on Italian political risk and emerging markets

Posted by hkarner - 29. Juni 2015

Friday, June 26, 2015

New York University economics professor Nouriel Roubini comments on the state of the U.S. economy from Cernobbio, Italy
Roubini Cernobbio Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Posted in Audios/Videos | Verschlagwortet mit: , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

The Liquidity Time Bomb

Posted by hkarner - 1. Juni 2015

Date: 01-06-2015
Source: Project Syndicate

NOURIEL ROUBINIWorld Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2007

Nouriel Roubini, a professor at NYU’s Stern School of Business and Chairman of Roubini Global Economics, was Senior Economist for International Affairs in the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers during the Clinton Administration. He has worked for the International Monetary Fund, the US Federal Reserve, and the World Bank.

NEW YORK – A paradox has emerged in the financial markets of the advanced economies since the 2008 global financial crisis. Unconventional monetary policies have created a massive overhang of liquidity. But a series of recent shocks suggests that macro liquidity has become linked with severe market illiquidity.

Polist interest rates are near zero (and sometimes below it) in most advanced economies, and the monetary base (money created by central banks in the form of cash and liquid commercial-bank reserves) has soared – doubling, tripling, and, in the United States, quadrupling relative to the pre-crisis period. This has kept short- and long-term interest rates low (and even negative in some cases, such as Europe and Japan), reduced the volatility of bond markets, and lifted many asset prices (including equities, real estate, and fixed-income private- and public-sector bonds). Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

 
Folgen

Erhalte jeden neuen Beitrag in deinen Posteingang.

Schließe dich 480 Followern an