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Posts Tagged ‘Leonard’

Planning for President Le Pen

Posted by hkarner - 20. April 2017

The thought of President Le Pen is so terrifying, it seems, posing such a threat to the future of Europe, that it remains for many a possibility they dare not entertain, much less plan for. But that threat is precisely why Europe must address seriously the possibility of her winning, however unlikely it may seem.

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Trump the Ideologue?

Posted by hkarner - 30. März 2017

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What Liberal World Order?

Posted by hkarner - 1. März 2017

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Harnessing the Politics of Disruption

Posted by hkarner - 1. Februar 2017

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The Coming Brexit Tragedy

Posted by hkarner - 23. Dezember 2016

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Europe, Alone in Trump’s World

Posted by hkarner - 10. November 2016

Photo of Mark Leonard

Mark Leonard

Mark Leonard is Director of the European Council on Foreign Relations.

NOV 9, 2016 Project Syndicate

LONDON – Alone again. Since World War II’s end, Europe has looked at the world through a transatlantic lens. There have been ups and downs in the alliance with the United States, but it was a family relationship built on a sense that we would be there for each other in a crisis and that we are fundamentally like-minded.

Donald Trump’s election as US president threatens to bring this to an end – at least for now. He believes more in walls and oceans than solidarity with allies, and has made it clear that he will put America not just first, but second and third as well. “We will no longer surrender this country, or its people,” he declared in his one major foreign-policy speech, “to the false song of globalism.”

Europeans will not only have to get used to Trump; they will have to look at the world through different eyes. There are four reasons to expect that Trump’s America will be the single biggest source of global disorder. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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Theresa May’s Nasty Britain

Posted by hkarner - 26. Oktober 2016

Photo of Mark Leonard

Mark Leonard

Mark Leonard is Director of the European Council on Foreign Relations.

OCT 25, 2016 Project Syndicate

LONDON – British Prime Minister Theresa May once warned her fellow Conservatives of the perils of being known as the “nasty party.” But after 100 days in office, she is in danger of going further, turning the United Kingdom into the nasty country.

In just a few months, May has launched attacks on “international elites” and decided to prioritize immigration controls over single-market access in negotiating the UK’s withdrawal from the European Union. At one point recently, companies faced the threat of being compelled to furnish a list of their foreign workers. And the 3.5 million European citizens who are settled in the UK were left to worry about whether May’s government would guarantee their residence rights. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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Playing Defense in Europe

Posted by hkarner - 2. September 2016

Photo of Mark Leonard

Mark Leonard

Mark Leonard is Director of the European Council on Foreign Relations.
 

SEP 1, 2016, Project Syndicate

LONDON – The most frightening periods in history have often been interregnums – moments between the death of one king and the rise of the next. Disorder, war, and even disease can flood into the vacuum when, as Antonio Gramsci put it in his Prison Notebooks, “the old is dying and the new cannot be born.” The dislocation and confusion of 2016 do not rival the turmoil of the interwar period, when Gramsci wrote, but they are certainly symptoms of a new interregnum.

After the end of the Cold War, the world was held together by an American-policed security order and a European-inspired legal order. Now, however, both are fraying, and no candidates to replace them have yet emerged. Indeed, unlike in 1989, this is not a crisis of a single type of system. Countries as different as Brazil, China, Russia, and Turkey are coming under heightened political and economic pressure. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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Boris Johnson the Counter-Revolutionary

Posted by hkarner - 29. Juli 2016

Photo of Mark Leonard

Mark Leonard

Mark Leonard is Director of the European Council on Foreign Relations.

JUL 27, 2016, Project Syndicate

LONDON – If history repeats itself – first tragedy, then farce – what comes next is Boris Johnson, a shape-shifting politician who embodies the contradictions of our age. Johnson is a tribune of the people who grew up with the privileges of the 1%; a child of immigrants who campaigned for closed borders; a Conservative who wants to upend the political order; an erudite man who mocks expertise; and a cosmopolitan who casually calls black people “piccaninnies.” Johnson did more than anyone to bury Britain’s European future; but his ultra-flexibility may yet prove to be its salvation.

In his first public appearance after being appointed Foreign Secretary, Johnson compared the Brexit vote to the French Revolution. Provoking boos at the French Embassy’s Bastille Day celebration, he hailed the referendum as “a great popular uprising against a stifling bureaucratic ancient regime (sic) whose democratic credentials had become very far from obvious.”

But the Brexit vote – with its promise to recreate the Britain of yesterday – is less revolution than counter-revolution. Boris and his band of Brexiteers have more in common with Louis Napoleon Bonaparte, who overturned the French republic to create a new monarchy, than with Danton or Robespierre. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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Last Man Standing

Posted by hkarner - 24. Mai 2016

Photo of Mark Leonard

Mark Leonard

Mark Leonard is Director of the European Council on Foreign Relations.

MAY 24, 2016, Project Syndicate

LONDON – Much of modern geopolitics seems to be following the plot from Game of Thrones, with many countries under so much political and economic stress that their only hope is that their rivals collapse before they do. So their governments cling to power while exploiting rivals’ internal weaknesses.

Russian President Vladimir Putin is the prime example. His recent campaigns in Syria and Ukraine may look like the actions of a geopolitical buccaneer. But the root of his adventurism is domestic weakness. Russia’s annexation of Crimea, for example, was in large part an attempt to provide Putin’s regime with renewed legitimacy following a winter of discontent, during which demonstrators took to the streets to protest his return to the presidency.

Rival powers – most notably the United States and the European Union – have introduced sanctions in the hope of widening cracks in the Russian elite, exploiting the fact that Putin has not diversified his economy away from oil and gas. Putin, in turn, is hoping that Russia’s economy stays afloat long enough for Ukraine to collapse. To hasten that process, the Kremlin has left no lever of destabilization unpulled: It has launched military incursions, manipulated Ukraine’s politics, used energy blackmail, and engaged in information warfare. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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