Posted by hkarner - 26. April 2017
PARIS – I vividly remember French presidential candidate Marine Le Pen’s first appearance on television. It was just before the 2002 presidential campaign, and I had to moderate a debate on French public television. For political balance, we needed a representative of the far-right National Front (FN), then led by Le Pen’s father, Jean-Marie Le Pen. Bruno Gollnisch, the manager of Jean-Marie’s campaign and his heir apparent, turned us down, offering to send Marine instead.
It was obviously a trick played not just on a media viewed as hostile, but also on Le Pen herself – a rival whom Gollnisch resented for having been, in his view, unduly promoted by her father in the FN apparatus. Le Pen was a largely unknown 33-year-old lawyer with little practice, though she had an obvious instinct for the punch line. In the end, Gollnisch’s plan may have backfired: a few days after Le Pen’s appearance, the headline in a weekly magazine read, “What is new with the FN? Marine!” Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: France, Le Pen, Ockrent, Project Syndicate | Leave a Comment »
Posted by hkarner - 25. April 2017
Dank an H.F.
2017 04 24 Asia Times, By Pepe Escobar April 24, 2017 9:54 PM (UTC+8)
What’s supposed to be the shock of the new is not exactly so.
Here’s the body count in the latest geopolitical earthquake afflicting the West: The Socialist Party in France is dead. The traditional Right is comatose. What used to be the Extreme Left is alive, and still kicking.
Yet what’s supposed to be the shock of the new is not exactly a shock. The more things veer towards change (we can believe in), the more they stay the same. Enter the new normal: the recycled “system” – as in Emmanuel Macron — versus “the people” — as in the National Front’s Marine Le Pen, battling for the French presidency on May 7.
Although that was the expected outcome, it’s still significant. Le Pen, re-christened “Marine”, reached the second round of voting despite a mediocre campaign.
She essentially reassembled — but did not expand — her voting base. I have argued on Asia Times that Macron is nothing but an artificial product, a meticulously packaged hologram designed to sell an illusion. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: Asia Times, Clinton, Escobar, France, Le Pen, Macron, Trump | Leave a Comment »
Posted by hkarner - 20. April 2017
The thought of President Le Pen is so terrifying, it seems, posing such a threat to the future of Europe, that it remains for many a possibility they dare not entertain, much less plan for. But that threat is precisely why Europe must address seriously the possibility of her winning, however unlikely it may seem.
LONDON – After the United Kingdom’s unexpected vote to leave the European Union and Donald Trump’s unexpected triumph in the US presidential election last year, you might imagine that Europe’s chancelleries have developed detailed contingency plans for a victory by the far-right National Front’s Marine Le Pen in France’s presidential election. You’d be wrong.
There is no doubt that, as President of France, Le Pen could do serious damage to the European project. She has positioned herself as the antithesis of German Chancellor Angela Merkel, and pledged to leave the EU’s border-free Schengen Area and the eurozone. As for the EU itself, she promises to follow in the UK’s footsteps, renegotiating the terms of her country’s membership, and then calling a referendum on the agreement. If the EU rejects the reforms Le Pen demands, she will campaign for a French exit. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: Brexit, France, Le Pen, Leonard, Project Syndicate, Trump | Leave a Comment »
Posted by hkarner - 3. April 2017
Source: The Economist
Marine Le Pen’s nationalism meets the unrepentant globalism of Emmanuel
Two against the EU
WHAT did Marine Le Pen, the head of France’s National Front, expect to gain by visiting Moscow on March 24th? Her core supporters relished seeing her with Vladimir Putin, a strong woman standing next to a strongman. Ms Le Pen came away claiming that the world now belongs to nationalist populists such as Mr Putin, Donald Trump, India’s Narendra Modi and, implicitly, herself. Interestingly, the visit did not seem aimed at the usual goal of candidates who go abroad: reassuring voters that they can safely be trusted with foreign policy.
In French campaigns, gravitas-enhancing trips beyond the Hexagone (as mainland France is known) are especially popular with candidates who have little experience of governing. This year Ms Le Pen has been to America (where she was seen sipping coffee in Trump Tower in New York), Germany, Lebanon and Chad. Emmanuel Macron, the young centrist who is tied with her for first place in the polls, has been to Algeria, Britain, Germany, Jordan and Lebanon, in part to reach out to expat voters and donors. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: Economist, France, Globalization, Le Pen, Macron | Leave a Comment »
Posted by hkarner - 29. März 2017
Dominique Moisi is Senior Counselor at the Institut Montaigne in Paris. He is the author of La Géopolitique des Séries ou le triomphe de la peur.
MAR 28, 2017 Project Syndicate
PARIS – Sixty years after the signing of the Treaty of Rome, France is poised to hold an election that could make or break the European Union. A victory for the pro-EU independent centrist Emmanuel Macron could be a positive turning point, with France rejecting populism and deepening its connections with Germany. If, however, French voters hand the presidency to the far-right National Front’s Marine Le Pen – who was, tellingly, just warmly received by Vladimir Putin in Moscow – the long European project will be finished.
Clearly, this is no ordinary French election. With the EU’s survival on the line, the stakes are higher than in any election in the history of the Fifth Republic. So, does France’s nationalist, xenophobic right have a real chance of coming to power? Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: Europe, France, Le Pen, Macron, Moisi, Project Syndicate | Leave a Comment »
Posted by hkarner - 18. März 2017
Bernard-Henri Lévy is one of the founders of the “Nouveaux Philosophes” (New Philosophers) movement. His books include Left in Dark Times: A Stand Against the New Barbarism, American Vertigo: Traveling America in the Footsteps of Tocqueville, and most recently, The Genius of Judaism.
MAR 17, 2017 Project Syndicate
PARIS – The “hunger games” aspect of this French election cycle began on the left. President François Hollande was brought down by his own Socialist Party. Hollande’s prime minister, Manuel Valls, became the second course at the cannibals’ banquet.
By then, the corpse of one of France’s two major parties, no longer merely supine, had reached an advanced state of decomposition. Now, at the very moment when one might expect a presidential candidate to tell the nation what he thinks of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Islamic radicals, the Socialist candidate, the wan Benoît Hamon, finds nothing better to talk about than legal marijuana, red sludge, and endocrine disruptors. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: France, Le Pen, Levy, Project Syndicate | Leave a Comment »
Posted by hkarner - 17. Februar 2017
Source: The Wall Street Journal By SIMON NIXON
Two front-runners agree that the defining issue is France’s membership of the eurozone
PARIS—What’s striking about the French presidential election is the extent to which the two front-runners share a basic analysis of the choice facing the country. Marine Le Pen, the leader of the right-wing National Front, and Emmanuel Macron, the 39-year-old former economy minister who quit François Hollande’s government to stand as an independent, are poles apart politically. But both agree that the defining issue is France’s membership of the eurozone.
Both point to the widening divergence between Germany and France’s economic performance during the past decade as evidence that the status quo isn’t sustainable. The National Front points to a recent International Monetary Fund study that suggested the euro is up to 15% undervalued in Germany and 6% overvalued in France as proof that France is at a competitive disadvantage. It argues that the only way France can remain a member of what one party official calls the “fixed eurozone exchange-rate regime” is to pursue an internal devaluation by cutting back on social protections and driving down wages. The alternative is to quit the eurozone. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: France, Le Pen, Macron, Nixon, WSJ | Leave a Comment »
Posted by hkarner - 7. Februar 2017
Utterly disgusting! (R,C,)
Source: The New York Times
Marine Le Pen, the leader of France’s far-right National Front, began her bid for the presidency in Lyon on Sunday with a speech that mirrored themes expressed by President Trump.
LYON, France — The French far-right leader Marine Le Pen delivered a grim populist kickoff to her burgeoning presidential campaign on Sunday, warning thousands of her flag-waving supporters of “two totalitarianisms,” globalization and Islamism, that want to “subjugate France.”
Ms. Le Pen’s dark picture of a weakened France troubled by bureaucrats and burqas was a striking echo of themes being sounded across the Atlantic. France, a prosperous country with the world’s sixth-largest economy, was depicted as a besieged wreck. In a packed hall here, she made a point, in an hourlong speech brimming with nationalist fervor, of praising President Trump and the Americans who had elected him, as her supporters shouted forcefully, “This is our country!”
Americans, she said, had “kept faith with their national interest,” even as she promised to do the same for France, saying the French had been “dispossessed of their patriotism.” Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: Europe, France, Globalization, Le Pen, Macron, NYT, Populism | Leave a Comment »
Posted by hkarner - 31. Januar 2017
Source: The Wall Street Journal
The continent’s volatility index has contracts for April pricier than those farther out
Investors are betting on heightened volatility in Europe’s stock market during April, when the first round of the French presidential election—involving far-right National Front leader Marine Le Pen, above—takes place.
While calm has blanketed the U.S. stock market to a degree not seen in years, European investors are wagering on volatility ahead.
The CBOE Volatility Index, the VIX, which tracks expectations for price swings in U.S. equities, fell on Friday to 10.58, its lowest closing level since July 2014. Meanwhile, its European counterpart is signaling turmoil three months from now. Both measures tend to move in the opposite direction of their respective equity benchmarks. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: Election, France, Le Pen | Leave a Comment »
Posted by hkarner - 23. Januar 2017
Source: The Wall Street Journal
Alternative for Germany leader Frauke Petry, French National Front leader Marine Le Pen, Italian Matteo Salvini of the Northern League, Netherlands‘ Party for Freedom leader Geert Wilders, Harald Vilimsky of Austria’s Freedom Party and Marcus Pretzell, ENF group member of the European Parliament, pose on stage in Koblenz, Germany, on Saturday.
KOBLENZ, Germany—Europe’s leading anti-immigrant and antiestablishment politicians rallied in the Rhineland on Saturday to launch an election year they hope will topple the European Union, displaying a new level of ambition and organization and casting U.S. President Donald Trump as their inspiration.
It was the first time that Marine Le Pen, the French nationalist leader vying for the presidency, campaigned alongside Frauke Petry, the most prominent of Germany’s anti-immigrant politicians. Leaders from Austria, the Netherlands and Italy joined them in ridiculing German Chancellor Angela Merkel and congratulating Mr. Trump—echoing or even directly quoting from his inaugural address.
“My friends, this year will be the year of the people—the year in which the voice of the people is finally heard,” said Geert Wilders, who is seeking to become the prime minister of the Netherlands in March elections, despite having been found guilty by a Dutch court in December of inciting discrimination. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Posted in Artikel | Verschlagwortet mit: Le Pen, Right, WSJ | Leave a Comment »