Föhrenbergkreis Finanzwirtschaft

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Posts Tagged ‘Kang’

China Must Quickly Tackle its Corporate Debt Problems

Posted by hkarner - 17. Dezember 2016

Posted on by iMFdirect

By Joong Shik Kang and Wojciech S. Maliszewski

China urgently needs to tackle its corporate-debt problem before it becomes a major drag on growth in the world’s No. 2 economy. Corporate debt has reached very high levels and continues to grow. In our recent paper, we recommend that the government act promptly to adopt a comprehensive program that would sacrifice some economic growth in the short term while rapidly returning the economy to a sustainable growth path.

Let’s first take a look at the dimensions of the problem. From 2009 to 2015, credit grew very rapidly by 20 percent on average per year, much more than growth in nominal gross domestic product. What’s more, the ratio of non-financial private credit to GDP rose from around 150 percent to more than 200 percent, or about 20-25 percentage points higher than the historical trend. Such a “credit gap” is comparable to those in countries that experienced painful deleveraging, such as Spain, Thailand, and Japan (see Chart 1). Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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