Energy sector, set for best quarter on record, is on cusp of bear market
Volatility Trading: Investors Cash In on Market Panic
The S&P 500 is on track for its best quarter since 1998, but despite the dramatic rebound, many sectors are still struggling to find steady footing.
The index’s consumer discretionary and energy segments are both on pace for their best quarterly performances on record, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Records for both date to the fourth quarter of 1989.
Both groups have surged at least 26% quarter‑to‑date. Energy stocks have rebounded after a punishing selloff to start the year, while leisure businesses and retailers are buoying the discretionary group.The latter has also been lifted by Amazon.com Inc., which has jumped 40% this quarter. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Hans-Werner Sinn, Professor of Economics at the University of Munich, was President of the Ifo Institute for Economic Research and serves on the German economy ministry’s Advisory Council. He is the author, most recently, of The Euro Trap: On Bursting Bubbles, Budgets, and Beliefs.
MÜNCHEN – Emmanuel Macron hält Deutschlands Wirtschaft für ein Auslaufmodell. Damit könnte er Recht haben, wenn es um die Energieversorgung geht.
Während Frankreich über siebzig Prozent seines Stroms aus Kernenergie herstellt und seinen Verkehr in Zukunft mit Atomautos betreiben will, setzt Deutschland auf Windenergie und andere grüne Energieformen. Das Land will bis 2022 nicht nur aus der Kernenergie, sondern bis 2038 auch noch aus der Kohle aussteigen. Das aber wird Deutschland kaum schaffen, denn die Möglichkeiten, noch viel mehr Windflügel aufzustellen, sind begrenzt.Schon heute ist das ganze Land mit riesigen, bis zu 250 Meter hohen Windkraftanlagen übersät, die selbst seine schönsten Kulturlandschaften in Industriegebiete verwandeln. Jubelnd haben die Bauern und Waldbesitzer der Umwidmung ihres Landes zugestimmt, war damit doch stets ein riesiger Planungsgewinn verbunden, wie er sonst nur den Landbesitzern an den Rändern der Großstädte vergönnt war. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
BITCOIN has been alarming people for years because of the amount of electricity needed to mint new virtual coinage. Alex de Vries, a bitcoin specialist at PwC, estimates that the current global power consumption for the servers that run bitcoin’s software is a minimum of 2.55 gigawatts (GW), which amounts to energy consumption of 22 terawatt-hours (TWh) per year—almost the same as Ireland. Google, by comparison, used 5.7 TWh worldwide in 2015. What’s more, the bitcoin “miners” consume about five times more power than they did last year, and orders of magnitude more than just a few years ago—and there are no signs of a slowdown. Why does bitcoin require so much energy to make something that exists only electronically?
Bitcoin and most other cryptocurrencies are founded on the notion of an immutable ledger, called the blockchain, which comprises transfers of value from one party to another. Cryptocurrency “miners” seek results to a kind of algorithmic puzzle that fits a very specific set of requirements. Every ten minutes on average, a server finds an acceptable solution, and the miner gets a reward from the bitcoin system. Currently they get 12.5 bitcoins (worth around $85,000) and about $1,000 in transaction fees. The miner’s combination of solution and transactions is also added to the blockchain. The new block does not become a de facto part of the ledger until a few more blocks are added, because valid solutions are sometimes found simultaneously, and it is not always clear straightaway which will become the longest, winning fork in the chain. To ensure that coins cannot be minted too quickly, as the overall network’s computational power increases, the bitcoin protocol continually makes it harder to find a putative solution. Every 2016 blocks (roughly every two weeks), the system is recalibrated. Miners are obliged therefore to keep upgrading in order to earn rewards as fast as competitors. And more computing power requires more electricity. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Aristotle famously contrasted two types of knowledge: “techne” (technical know-how) and “phronesis” (practical wisdom). Scientists and engineers have offered the techne to move rapidly from fossil fuels to zero-carbon energy; now we need the phronesis to redirect our politics and economies accordingly.
NEW YORK – The climate crisis we now face is a reflection of a broader crisis: a global confusion of means and ends. We continue to use fossil fuels because we can (means), not because they are good for us (ends).
This confusion is why Pope Francis and Ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomew are spurring us to think deeply about what is truly good for humanity, and how to attain it. Earlier this month, the pope and patriarch each convened business, scientific, and academic leaders, in Rome and Athens, respectively, to hasten the transition from fossil fuels to safe renewable energy. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
China’s proposed Global Energy Interconnection – based on renewables, ultra-high-voltage transmission, and an AI-powered smart grid – represents the boldest global initiative by any government to achieve the goals of the Paris climate agreement. It is a strategy fit for the scale of the most important challenge the world faces today.
BEIJING – The boldest plan to achieve the targets set by the 2015 Paris climate agreement comes from China. The Paris accord commits the world’s governments to keeping global warming to well below 2º Celsius (3.6º Fahrenheit) relative to the pre-industrial level. This can be accomplished mainly by shifting the world’s primary energy sources from carbon-based fossil fuels (coal, oil, and natural gas) to zero-carbon, renewable (wind, solar, hydro, geothermal, ocean, biomass), and nuclear energy by the year 2050. China’s Global Energy Interconnection (GEI) offers a breathtaking vision of how to achieve this energy transformation.
Few governments appreciate the scale of this transformation. Climate scientists speak of the “carbon budget” – the total amount of carbon dioxide that humanity can emit in the coming years while still keeping global warming to under 2º. Current estimates put the mid-point estimate of the world’s carbon budget at around 600 billion tons. Humanity currently emits around 40 billion tons of CO2 per year, implying that the world has only until mid-century or even sooner to phase out fossil fuels and move entirely to zero-emission sources of primary energy. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Zur Info. Vor dem Hintergrund der Diskussion in Deutschland rund um den Hub for Sustainable Finance (H4SF) und die Empfehlungen der High Lebel Expert Group (HLEG) der Europäischen Kommission gibt es nun wieder eine Diskussion zur Rolle (und den beschränkten Fähigkeiten) der Finanzwirtschaft in Bezug auf die Finanzierung der Energiewende: http://www.finance-watch.org/hot-topics/blog/1497-finance-energy-transition Der Autor des Artikels arbeitet bei der französischen Caritas.Wer mehr zu den Empfehlungen der HLEG wissen möchte: wir haben bei CRIC die Empfehlungen der HLEG kommentiert (siehe hier) und ein Dossier zu den wichtigsten Dokumenten, Stellungnahmen und Texten erstellt (siehe hier). (KG)
Date published: 5 January 2018, Finance Watch
Grégoire Niaudet from our member Caritas France offers this ambitious overview of available sustainable finance policy tools. The original publication can be found in English and in French on Caritas‘ website.
Key energy transition data
It is estimated that US$6,200 billion per year will be needed worldwide through to 2030, two thirds of it for developing countries, for the adaptation of their production, consumption and transportation systems.
Between US$140 billion and US$300 billionper year will be needed through to 2030, and US$280 to US$500 per year through to 2050, to help vulnerable countries deal with the consequences of climate change.
Date: 20-02-2018
Source: The Wall Street Journal By Walter Russell Mead
His policies promote energy independence and balance between France and Germany.
French president Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel.
The Trump administration is turning out to be a blessing in disguise for the European Union. While many of the president’s rhetorical statements offend European sensibilities, and while dramatic acts like the withdrawal from the Paris climate accord prompt talk of a “crisis” in trans-Atlantic relations, the actual consequences of the administration’s policies are shoring up Europe’s foundations in surprising ways.
A year ago, fears that an allegedly pro-Russia Trump administration would ditch the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and throw Europe to the wolves had delicate Europeans trembling. These days those fears seem quaint. But few in Europe have yet grasped how anti-Russian and pro-European the Trump foreign policy is at its core.
This is partly because European reflexes, especially German ones, are so often nonstrategic. Fine words and noble resolutions are mistaken for hard facts, and the wrapping paper matters more than the gift. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
Indien, China, Russland und Südkorea haben bereits angekündigt, den Handel mit Kryptowährungen wie Bitcoin zu beschränken oder gar zu verbieten. In Island droht den Bitcoin-Schürfern, die via geballte Computerpower gezielt Bictoin erschaffen, dagegen Ungemach der anderen Art.
Denn Island hat sich in den letzten Monaten zu einem wahren Hub für die Kryptowährungsindustrie entwickelt. Das hat zur Folge, dass laut Nachrichtenagentur AP in Island heuer wohl erstmals mehr Strom für die energieintensive Gewinnung von Bitcoin und Co. verbraucht werden wird als für alle Haushalte des Inselstaates zusammen.
Dass Island ein logisches Ziel für die Industrie ist, liegt eigentlich auf der Hand: Es gibt auf der Insel erneuerbare Energie in Hülle und Fülle – dank Geothermie- und Wasserkraftwerken. Zudem sorgt das kalte Klima dafür, dass die Kühlkosten für die Serveranlagen der Kryptomining-Firmen besonders niedrig sind. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
August 1, 2017—Seventy-seven-year-old Heinz Spahn—whose blue eyes are both twinkling and stern—vividly recalls his younger days. The Zollverein coal mine, where he worked in the area of Essen, Germany, was so clogged with coal dust, he remembers, that people would stir up a black cloud whenever they moved. “It was no pony farm,” he says—using the sardonic German phrase to describe the harsh conditions: The roar of machines was at a constant 110 decibels, and the men were nicknamed waschbär, or “raccoons,” for the black smudges that permanently adorned their faces.
Today, the scene at Zollverein is very different. Inside the coal washery where Spahn once worked—the largest building in the Zollverein mining complex—the air is clean, and its up to 8,000 miners have been replaced by one-and-a-half million tourists annually. The whole complex is now a UNESCO world heritage site: Spahn, who worked here as a fusion welder until the mine shut down on December 23, 1986, is employed as a guide to teach tourists about its history. “I know this building in and out. I know every screw,” he says fondly. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
American coal producers filling voids created by overseas producers shifting exports to China
China’s reemergence as a coal importer has boosted the fortunes of U.S. producers who are now shipping more coal abroad than any time in the last two years.
The trend has helped solidify a business that at the beginning of last year was suffering through a spate of bankruptcies and threatened with more. Revenue at publicly traded U.S. coal companies grew 19% in the first half of this year compared with the same period a year ago, and the biggest gains came at companies helped the most by exports, according to data compiled by Doyle Trading Consultants, a coal-market-analysis firm.
That growth comes at a time when President Donald Trump has vowed to end a long decline in the U.S. coal business. Hundreds of mines have closed in recent years largely because of increasing competition from other fuels, and the Trump administration has pushed to cut regulations that make coal even less competitive. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »
MÜNCHEN – Emmanuel Macron hält Deutschlands Wirtschaft für ein Auslaufmodell. Damit könnte er Recht haben, wenn es um die Energieversorgung geht.