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Archive for 5. Februar 2020

How Today’s Tech Run Differs From the Dot‑Com Bubble

Posted by hkarner - 5. Februar 2020

Date: 04‑02‑2020

Source: The Wall Street Journal

Five biggest S&P 500 companies have lower valuations, stronger earnings than those that dominated in 2000

Just five stocks account for nearly a fifth of the S&P 500’s total market capitalization—the highest share since the dot‑com bubble peaked at the turn of the century.

Are there worrying parallels between the ascent of Facebook Inc., Apple Inc., Amazon.com Inc., Microsoft Corp. and Alphabet Inc. and the ill‑fated dot‑com boom of 2000? Goldman Sachs Group Inc. says not yet.

For one, the stock market’s five biggest companies don’t look as expensive as their counterparts from 2000. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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Tesla Shares Rally at Fastest Pace Since 2013

Posted by hkarner - 5. Februar 2020

Date: 04‑02‑2020

Source: The Wall Street Journal

The advance is testing the resolve of short sellers who have made the electric‑car maker one of the most bet‑against companies in financial markets

Tesla Inc. shares are rallying at their fastest pace in years, testing the resolve of short sellers who have made the electric‑car maker one of the most bet‑against companies in financial markets.

At the beginning of the year, Tesla shares behaved much like any other stock in the market: They headed higher.

But as a wave of selling spurred by worries about the global coronavirus outbreak wiped out the broader market’s gains, Tesla shares did something unexpected: They continued rising, and at breakneck pace.

The ascent has been so rapid that Tesla shares, which jumped 20% to a closing record Monday, are now up 86% for the year—outperforming every single stock in the S&P 500, as well as bitcoin and gold. In fact, Tesla’s rise over the past five trading days marked its best five‑day stretch since a rally in May 2013, when the company posted its first‑ever quarterly profit.

What has driven the company to this point? The rally got a boost last week when Tesla reported making record deliveries in the fourth quarter and said it planned to deliver more cars globally in 2020. A flurry of analysts also have helped fuel the stock’s rise, with Argus Research bumping up its share‑price target to $808 from $556 Monday.

The gains are proving to be a thorn in skeptics’ side. The value of short positions on Tesla dropped by a record $5.8 billion in January, according to financial analytics firm S3 Partners. Short sellers borrow stocks and sell them, profiting if they are able to repurchase the shares at lower prices. S3 Partners estimates the number of Tesla shares that are shorted dropped by 1.4 million over the past 30 days.

“The million dollar question is when will the next wave of serious short covering occur and whether it will be a continuous trickle or a tsunami?” said Ihor Dusaniwsky, managing director at S3 Partners, in emailed comments.

Tesla has had a particularly fraught history with short sellers. Chief Executive Elon Musk has sparred publicly with his critics, once writing to hedge‑fund manager David Einhorn to tell him he would send him “a small gift of short shorts.” More recently, Mr. Musk applauded a move by Japan’s government pension fund to suspend lending shares for short selling, writing on Twitter, “Bravo, right thing to do! Short selling should be illegal.”

That hasn’t stopped skeptics from placing bets on Tesla’s fall. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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