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Archive for 8. März 2017

 Roubini : #Trump is the Liar-In-Chief

Posted by hkarner - 8. März 2017

Wednesday, March 8, 2017, Roubini Blog

„Not credible that Trump didn’t know that Flynn had spoken about sanctions with the Russian Amb; as if Flynn could free lance on this alone..“Said Dr Nouriel Roubini via twitter ,
„Motley Crew: Flynn a liar; Conway peddling Ivanka; Priebus incompetent; Spicer Chief Spinmaster; Bannon as Rasputin; Trump the Liar-In-Chief“
„That O’Reilly jerk & Trump lapdog on Fox News was ranting non stop about immigrants while CNN & MSNBC were reporting that Flynn resigned „he added

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The only problem with reunions…

Posted by hkarner - 8. März 2017

Thanks to my friend R.C.

A group of chaps, all aged 40, discussed where they should meet for lunch. Finally it was agreed that they would meet at Wetherspoons in Uxbridge because the waitresses had stunning figures and wore mini-skirts.

Ten years later, at age 50, the friends once again discussed where they should meet for lunch. Finally it was agreed that they would meet at Wetherspoons in Uxbridge because the waitresses were attractive. The food and service was good and the beer selection was excellent

Ten years later, at age 60, the friends again discussed where they should meet for lunch. Finally it was agreed that they would meet at Wetherspoons in Uxbridge because there was plenty of parking, they could dine in peace and quiet with no loud music and it was good value for money. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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How to make robots pay their fair share

Posted by hkarner - 8. März 2017

Date: 06-03-2017
Source: The Economist

THE future looks increasingly perilous for the human worker. New robots are no longer flummoxed by staircases and doorknobs; clever software is capable of driving cars and carrying on (rudimentary) conversations. While a workless world remains a distant possibility, a period of automation-driven disruption seems to loom ahead. Many futurists reckon that as machines replace people, governments will need to find ways to redistribute income from the machines (and the people who own them) to displaced workers, to ensure that the benefits of automation-driven growth are shared widely. In a recent interview Bill Gates proposed one method for doing this: a tax on robots, the money from which could be used to retrain workers and expand employment in health care and education. But is this the right response?

Mr Gates’s proposal would solve several problems at once. In addition to raising money (which could be used to fund new employment opportunities for people) the tax would probably slow the pace of automation: a good thing, from Mr Gates’s perspective. Economists typically dislike taxes on such investments, since buying and using new equipment raises productivity and growth. But if the pace of automation is too rapid for society to handle, as Mr Gates supposes, then slowing automation could do more good than harm: by prolonging employment for workers who might otherwise fall into long-term unemployment, for instance. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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A Plan Set Up To Fail

Posted by hkarner - 8. März 2017

March 7, 2017 9:01 am March 7, 2017 9:01 am, Paul Krugman

So now we know what Republicans have to offer as an Obamacare replacement. Let me try to avoid value judgments for a few minutes, and describe what seems to have happened here.

The structure of the Affordable Care Act comes out of a straightforward analysis of the logic of coverage. If you want to make health insurance available and affordable for almost everyone, regardless of income or health status, and you want to do this through private insurers rather than simply have single-payer, you have to do three things.

1.Regulate insurers so they can’t refuse or charge high premiums to people with preexisting conditions
2.Impose some penalty on people who don’t buy insurance, to induce healthy people to sign up and provide a workable risk pool
3.Subsidize premiums so that lower-income households can afford insurance Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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Everything the Market Thinks About Inflation Might Be Wrong

Posted by hkarner - 8. März 2017

Date: 07-03-2017
Source: The Wall Street Journal

How much money a central bank prints may be less important to inflation than commodity prices

No number is more important for investors right now than inflation. The belief that it will continue to rise underpins the recent rally in financial stocks and the slump in government bonds. It is key to commodities, currencies and more.

Yet investors are in a quandary: Theories used to forecast it just don’t seem to work.

“I don’t think we know what inflation is. It takes so many different forms,” said David Lafferty, chief strategist at Natixis Global Asset Management, which manages about $900 billion. Inflation is this year’s “wild card,” Mr. Lafferty said.

For decades, the assumption has been that central banks have the ultimate handle on inflation. When inflation goes up, they raise interest rates to quell it; when it goes down, they lower the rates.

Investors care a lot, because bond yields broadly track interest rates. They need to predict inflation levels as well as how central banks would react. Den Rest des Beitrags lesen »

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