Föhrenbergkreis Finanzwirtschaft

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Markets: will the Trump rally go on?

Posted by hkarner - 7. März 2017

Date: 06-03-2017
Source: The Economist

The post-election stockmarket surge continues apace. Hopes are so high for corporate tax cuts, deregulation and infrastructure spending from Donald Trump that investors have been willing to ignore the tweetstorms and the continuing revelations of his team’s Russian connections.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average topped 20,000 for the first time in January, and exceeded 21,000 last week. Yet global markets face many challenges in the next few weeks. The Federal Reserve is hinting at an interest-rate increase later this month; elections in the Netherlands and France could see strong showings from far-right (and anti-euro) parties; and both the European Central Bank and the People’s Bank of China may reduce the pace of credit expansion. There is also plenty of scope for American GDP growth to fall short of inflated hopes; the Atlanta Fed’s model points to an annualised rise of just 1.8% in the first quarter. Hold on tight.

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