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Nouriel Roubini and Patrick Chovanec EconoMonitor Video – China: How Much Stress Can the System Take?

Posted by hkarner - 9. Februar 2012

Author: Nouriel Roubini · February 8th, 2012 · RGE EconoMonitor

Patrick Chovanec, associate professor at Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management in Beijing, China stopped by the RGE offices in NY for a discussion on the likelihood of a hard landing in China and we consider the short and medium term implications of policy adjustments, leadership transitions, and technology advancements. [22:20]

[2:25] – How much of a deceleration is to be expected?

[4:50] – Which policy route will China take and will they be able to achieve 8% growth for the year?

[8:00] – Will China be able to provide stimulus fast enough, or will this year’s growth be below consensus?

[10:20] – What will exchange rate policy look like and will we see an increase in trade tension?

[13:50] – A look at the medium term outlook and the leadership transition.

[16:00] – Will China avoid a hard landing?

[18:18] – With social and political instability spreading around the world often facilitated by social media and other new technology, what’s the risk to the system?


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