Föhrenbergkreis Finanzwirtschaft

Nach den kristallklaren Aussagen des Föhrenbergkreises zur Finanzwirtschaft aus dem Jahr 1999 gibt es jetzt einen neuen Arbeitskreis zum Thema.

Archive for 23. November 2009

Mergers & Acquisitions: Is Deal Volume About to Pick Up?

Posted by hkarner - 23. November 2009

  • According to Dealogic, U.S. M&A activity has boomed in November 2009 with 41 announced  deals worth US$47.5 billion in comparison to 575 deals worth US$19.8 billion in November 2008. November deals outpaced October’s value in the first few days, as there were 522 deals worth US$29.8 billion. Total year-to-date volume has been 5,786 U.S. deals worth US$619.8 billion.  (Wall Street Journal) 

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Is Another Bubble in the Making? Could Central Banks Lose Control?

Posted by hkarner - 23. November 2009

Bill Gross of PIMCO: “Moving out on the risk asset spectrum has worked wonders since March of this year, but it comes with the risk of principal loss – failing to receive the return of your money. China may abandon its dollar peg within six months’ time and with it, its own easy monetary policy that has fostered more significant mini-bubbles of lending and asset appreciation on the Chinese mainland. With renewed upward appreciation of the yuan may come potentially volatile global asset price reactions to the downside – higher Treasury yields, and lower stock prices – which the Fed must surely be leery of before making any upward move, of its own. Policy makers recognize that asset prices must be supported in order to generate positive future nominal GDP growth somewhere close to historical norms. Investors must recognize that if assets appreciate with nominal GDP, a 4–5% return is about all they can expect even with abnormally low policy rates.”  In order to avoid debt deflation in the real economy, nominal GDP must grow in the 4%-6% range.

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